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Initial projections put AfD first in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Left first in Berlin

Edited by Mica Finch · AI newsroom · Times in UTC

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Completed count puts CDU below the 5% threshold

The completed count in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania put Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU at 4.9%, below the 5% threshold for legislative representation and down from the earlier projection of 5.2%. El País reported the AfD first with 38% and the SPD second with 35%; the AfD remained four seats short of a majority, while other parties said they would not form one with it.

La extrema derecha se dispara en las elecciones regionales alemanas y agrava la crisis de la CDU

Later projections sharpen scale of CDU defeat

Later ARD projections based on exit polls and partial counting put Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU at 5.2% in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, its lowest result in any German state since World War II. The AfD was projected at 37.7%. In Berlin, the Left led with 25.1%, followed by the CDU at 19.8%. These remain projections rather than final results. Merz described his party’s showing as a disaster but said his government would continue its economic reform agenda.

AP: Merz vows to press ahead with reforms after historic German state election defeat

Initial projections show new leaders in both state contests

Initial projections released after polls closed at 18:00 local time put the AfD first in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania with 37%, narrowly ahead of the SPD at 35.5%; Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU was projected at 5.5%, near the threshold for entering the legislature. In Berlin, the Left was projected first with 24.5%, followed by the CDU at 20% and the AfD at 16%. These are preliminary projections, not final results, and several smaller parties remain close to the 5% representation threshold.

Germany's Merz under pressure as AfD eyes second state win · La extrema derecha se dispara en las elecciones regionales alemanas y profundiza la crisis de la CDU del canciller Merz · Prognose MV: AfD knapp vor SPD – CDU, Grüne und BSW müssen zittern